29 June 2013 - The Way the Wind Blows
The U. K. Guardian reports that
US army blocks access to Guardian website to preserve 'network hygiene'.
That means that military personnel surfing the net while using Department of Defense computers will
find themselves blocked from some U. K. Guardian sites.
One of the Army's public affairs officers explains, "In response to your question about access to
the guardian.co.uk website,
the army is filtering some access to press coverage and online content about the NSA leaks."
His rationale was: "The Department of Defense routinely takes preventative 'network hygiene'
measures to mitigate unauthorized disclosures of classified information onto DoD unclassified
networks."
But he assured reporters that the US military was not taking any steps to prevent civilians from
visiting the Guardian, so at least the Obama Administration is not stooping to China's level.
Yet.
*
*
*
21 June 2013 - The Love of Money
"For the love of money is the root of all evil," wrote St. Paul to Timothy.
"which while some coveted after, they have erred from the faith, and pierced themselves through with
many sorrows."
This is not a surprising warning: in many "primitive" (and pagan) societies, wealth buys
influence through regular and occasionally lavish philanthropy.
But living in a society in which wealth is hoarded may do something to our heads.
Some psychologists at
UC Berkeley
conducted some experiments on the acquisitive instinct, and
they told PBS that "... we're finding that lower class people
just have a sharper sensitivity to need and to people who could use a little help ..." while
well-to-do people need to have the need pointed out to them.
Furthermore, they found that
those Biblical admonitions about the haughtiness of the rich were true;
see also the
follow-up.
*
*
*
15 June 2013 - Eric Snowden on the Hook - updated 16 June 2013
While we all admire the integrity of prophets, sages, and dissidents who stood their ground
to face the music - from
Socrates and
John the Baptist
to
Galileo and
Gandhi, it is
quite common for troublemakers like
Emile Zola and
Karl Marx
to go elsewhere
(and recalling
Andrei Amalrik
and
Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn
, sometimes the exile is involuntary).
Indeed, some dissidents employed variants of
Voltaire's
policy of having a house near the border.
But gaining an asylum can have its price.
Dissidents from
Martin Luther
to
the 14th Dalai Lama
have discovered that when a major power grants you asylum, that major power may expect you to play its
tune.
It is not clear what led Eric Snowden to share
data identifying computers in Hong Kong and China that the NSA had penetrated.
But this was different from anything he had done up to then.
Before then, Snowden had revealed that the NSA was invading the privacy of tens of millions of Americans as
a matter of routine, invasions that high officials had denied in testimony before Congress.
Before then, Snowden had technically violated the law in an act of whistleblowing, and the
hysterical accusations of treason from the likes of U. S. Dianne Feinstein, Fox
News commentator Ralph Peters, and others only show the moral decay within the beltway.
What Snowden had done prior to his his revelation about Hong Kong and China computers was as much an act of
patriotism as
Billy Mitchell's bombing of the Ostfriesland.
But identifying NSA targets in Hong Kong and China was different.
It isn't that he revealed that the NSA was targeting Chinese computers - everyone knows that - but that he
revealed one sensitive secret: that an IT person in his position knew that the NSA was specifically
targeting those particular computers.
Not only did that identify specific targets of the NSA at specific times, but it also gave the Chinese
valuable information about how intelligence about China is distributed in the NSA.
And the intended audience was clearly the Chinese government, not the American people or the American
press (and the international press, including the Guardian), which had been the primary audience up to then.
And that pretty much puts him in the same class with
Jonathan Pollard:
not treason for the technical reason that China (like Israel) is not an "Enemy", but espionage all the same.
Whether or not Snowden volunteered the computer identification data or was pressured by Chinese authorities,
he must have known that choosing Hong Kong as an asylum would come at a high price.
He may not have had much choice: considering Sweden and Great Britain's lapdog behavior in the
Assange case, and the
outrageous treatment of
Bradley Manning,
both standing his ground or seeking asylum from a more respectable nation may have seemed suicidal.
So there it is.
Espionage, pure and simple.
Some will be quick to judge, but considering the ghastly dilemma Snowden faced, it takes a monster or a fool
not to sympathize.
And the architect of Snowden's dilemma, the man who signs off on these daily violations of the constitution,
shows little sign of conscience - although he has called for
... dialogue ... , which he may or may not listen to.
And this whole story has just gotten a lot uglier.
*
*
*
11 June 2013 - But is it illegal?
Two days ago, my post (below) stated that Snowden broke the law in exposing large-scale
crimes by the U. S. government.
But as I walked past a
LaRouche activist
handing out sheets denouncing the NSA's "illegal spying", I had to ask, were these
crimes?
First of all, Snowden almost certainly broke the law.
But contrary to
House Speaker John Boehner's hyperventilations,
Snowden is not guilty of treason.
The
U. S. Constitution
itself defines treason: Article III, Section 2 states that "Treason against the United States,
shall consist only in levying War against them, or in adhering to their Enemies, giving them
Aid and Comfort."
Only a most dishonorable court - which may include the one Bradley Manning faces now - would
claim that an act of whistleblowing that has a collatoral or side effect of assisting an
enemy is an act of treason.
But there are numerous laws requiring that people granted access to secret information keep
that information secret, so
Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz's
demand that Snowden "be extradited, arrested and prosecuted" may come to pass.
And there's the rub, for these laws are violated routinely, and the decision whether to
prosecute or not - indeed, the decision whether to investigate or not - often depends on
whether the publication of secret information was a leak (officially unapproved) or a plant
(unofficially approved).
Whistleblowers like Snowden have a few thin protections, but not much lately.
Indeed, in 2006, the Supreme Court actually ruled that
an official may be disciplined for complaining to his superiors about corrupt practices,
so Snowden can't expect much from the courts.
What about the government?
The NSA has been acting with what look suspiciously like the
general warrants
used by the British in American colonies to sweep up everything they could find.
If Scalia, Thomas, Alito and Thomas are really originalists, then there are four votes flatly
against the NSA on the U. S. Supreme Court - not a hypothetical point, given that the
ACLU has just filed suit.
On the other hand,
Most Americans back NSA tracking phone records, prioritize probes over
privacy,
and as
Mr. Dooley observed, "The Supreme Court follows the election returns."
And as former U. S. Supreme Court Justice
Charles Evans Hughes observed, "We are under a Constitution, but the Constitution
is what the judges say it is..."
*
*
*
9 June 2013 - American Dreyfus
The United States may be facing what the Third French Republic faced a century ago - a sort
of crisis that proud Americans used to think our country would never face because we and
our government was better than that.
In 1899,
Captain Alfred Dreyfus
of the French Army was convicted of treason, specifically delivering secret documents to the
Germans.
This confirmed his prior conviction of 1894, but during the subsequent five years, the French
military had found the actual spy and attempted an unsuccessful cover-up.
It started with a sloppy investigation and a rush to judgment, but since Dreyfus was Jewish,
the collapse of the cover-up led to a toxic controversy over Judaism in France, the role of
the military and the Catholic Church and, ultimately, a collision between royalist and
republican attitudes.
When Dreyfus was ultimately vindicated and reinstated in the Army in 1906, it was seen more
as a triumph of Enlightenment values than, say, exposure and rectification of an error of
a misfeasant, malfeasant, and nonfeasant military bureaucracy - a bureaucracy that would
display its incompetence and unreliability in two world wars, the second one disastrously.
The United States may be approaching a similar collision between royalist and republican
values, and we should be clear what we mean by that:
-
"Royalism" is what Americans used to call
bossism,
that a single person possesses the virtues to be the Leader, and that it is the duty of
every citizen to obey the the Leader.
-
"Republicanism," from the Latin "res publica" (literally "business of the public")
is virtually synonymous with "democracy," which comes from the Greek "demos" ("people") +
"kratos" ("power").
(Yes, I know that Right-wing pseudo-intellectuals claim that republics and democracies
are different, but that's just their ignorance.)
The United States of America was established as, in Ben Franklin's words, "a Republic, if you can keep
it."
Bill Clinton was probably the last president inclined towards a republican view of his job,
probably because it was the people who repeatedly rescued him from the politicians after
his frequent missteps.
(Not that Clinton was at all open about national security matters, but at least he didn't
dismiss critics with "I'm the decider" rhetoric.)
Both Bush (Junior) and Obama talked the talk about democracy, but neither walked the walk.
One result is the almost cancerous growth of the ... well, we might as well use the
term: Special Branch.
Like a European-style Special Branch, Homeland Security spies on American citizens, collects
political intelligence, and keeps its operations secret.
The latest revelation comes about the National Security Agency.
Unlike
Bradley Manning,
who was a naif with the best of intentions - and did his country a great service - but
didn't really know what he was doing nor what the consequences to himself and his country
might be,
Edward Snowden
clearly knew exactly what he was doing.
And like Nathan Hale before him, he has every right to toss a guantlet at President Obama's
feet and announce that he has but one life to give to his country.
And what will our brilliant, arrogant, and unwise president do with that gauntlet?
He did, after all, swear (hand on the Bible) to uphold the constitution he now violates
daily.
His administration already prosecuted more political leakers than all preceding administrations
combined.
PFC Manning is already going through a trial worthy of Lewis Carroll.
So...
-
It would be cowardice to bump off or rendition Snowden.
And the word - coward - would certainly be used against Obama if Snowden is run over
by a truck.
-
To do nothing would be an admission that the current policy was wrong, which would cost
Obama credibility with a security bureaucracy to which Obama has devoted four years worth of
political capital.
-
That leaves extradition and a trial.
But Snowden is a formidable character and the issues are clear: Snowden deliberately
violated the law (and probably his contract) in order to expose large-scale crimes
that the NSA was committing against the people of the United States - with the knowledge
and complicity of the White House, which lied about it all.
Technically, Snowden is probably guilty of several crimes (but not, ahem, of treason,
which requires specifically aiding an "enemy").
But like the trial(s) of Dreyfus, the trial of Snowden would summon the spirits of Royalism and
Democracy, and no amount of legal jargon or high-minded rhetoric would change the role that
Obama would play.
If this is what happens, then President Obama would be cast as a tragic figure in the classic
sense, for the trial would be the natural outcome of his own actions.
He spent four years building on George Bush's legacy, and as
26 May 2013 - The Devil in Jackson County
Temptation is one of the Devil's most powerful tools.
The stories of temptation resisted - by
Frodo Baggins or
Sir Gawain -
or accepted - by
Heinrich Faust or
Jabez Stone -
are among the most powerful in Christian literature.
And given the propensity of Red State preachers to preach to Blue States while their own
parishioners drink the kool-aid, it is not surprising to see Old Scratch in Jackson
County, Florida.
The Faustian bargain is this.
A rural county in the Florida panhandle sees the future leaving for the big cities.
Family farming has grown increasingly problematic over the last century, so the local boosters are
relieved, if not delighted, when Mr. Mephistopheles arrives with ... a penal institution.
It might be a prison, it might be a reform school, it might be whatever, but whatever it is, it
means jobs, a steady demand for supplies, and thus a reliable revenue stream for the county.
And in 1900, Jackson County, Florida, became the home for an
Arthur G. Dozier School for Boys, a "reform school."
During the last few years, the news media has been reporting that this penal institution was
actually worse (and larger) than anything in any of Dickens' novels; some of things that happened
there might well make
Wackford Squeers' blood run cold.
And now a team from my own
University of South Florida
is digging up unmarked graves.
And what is the reaction of Jackson County?
The Reverend Dr. Billy Bruner - someone who really should know about the Devil -
complains that "As to the 'treatment' of those who lived there,
it is a fact that many of those who were inmates at Dozer were there because of very serious
criminal reasons,"
and
also that
"... what is in it for all these who want to open these graves of individuals who were at the
Dozier School because of some form of violation of the law, even taking the life of another?"
As the Reverend must know, Christ did address the problem of people in prison, but the presumption
in the gospels is that inmates are human beings.
But modern prison is primary an exercise in management and control, not unlike a factory farm,
and to some employees in a rural county, a factory farm atmosphere - complete with an element of
danger one doesn't find in factory farms - may encourage a tendency to regard inmates as less
than human.
As the
U. S. Office of Naval Research discovered,
almost all guards will exhibit this attitude towards inmates, and some will act on it.
And after the fact, as the graveyards are uncovered, what then?
Jackson county residents do not claim that Dozier was just a farm, but they have difficulties with
a charnal house being one of their major employers.
The Tampa Bay Times reports that
In Marianna, dig for truth encounters desire to keep past buried.
A local Chamber of Commerce Man of the Year
opposed the state's attempt to get permission to continue digging,
and
a local judge obliged,
denying the state permission while muddying the water over what
such a denial meant.
The problem with denial is that it entails embracing the temptation.
The denial is itself a temptation, and once taken, leads one only further down the path paved
with good intentions.
*
*
*
5 May 2013 - Edmund Burke
First of all, Jesse Norman, Member of Parliament, is wrong:
Edmund Burke was not
The First Conservative.
It isn't just that it's hard to imagine conservatism without
Thomas Hobbes,
but also that "first conservative" is a sort of oxymoron.
But the book may be a useful reminder, even if
New Criterion reviewer Charles Hill fails to make the point: much of what is now called
"conservatism" (e.g. the
Tea Party) is actually a brand of radical populism.
For example, the Tea Party would agree with
Margaret Thatcher
that
... there is no such thing as society, and expression of individualism that serves as a retort to
progressive quotes like
Hillary Clinton's
favorite African quote,
"It takes a village to raise a child.".
But Thatcher's attitude is anti-Burkean; Burke regarded a society as an organic whole, and individual people
were merely part of that society, not whole unto themselves.
To a Burkean, the rugged individualism of Thatcher and the Tea Party -- and especially the ballyhoo around it --
bring to mind Burke's warning, as pertinent today for the Tea Party as it was two centuries ago for the National Assembly:
21 April 2013 - Boston
While the
20 July 2012 shooting
in Aurora, Colorado and the
14 December 2012 shooting
in Newtown, Connecticut brought out the usual hysteria and conspiracy theories about James Holmes and Adam Lanza,
the toxins pouring through the Main Stream Media over Boston seems to be at a different level.
As those of us who remember the
mess the FBI (and the media) made of
the 1996 Olympics bombing in Atlanta, nothing is more dangerous than a police agency under pressure to solve a
case it doesn't know how to solve, and everything such a police agency says should be taken with several grains
of salt.
And yet, there the officials were again, chattering on and off the record about the progress of the investigation
while the main stream media faithfully reported rumors as news.
And by now, we all know how the New York Post floated reams of fiction across their pages.
Potentially more dangerous was the response of the politicians.
Unlike James Holmes, Dzhokhar Tsarnaevis
may be interrogated without prior reading of his Miranda rights,
a move which even
torture apologist Alan Dershowitz
warned is constitutionally suspect.
(Fortunately, even in this moment of fury, a narrow majority of Americans
agreed with Mr. Dershowitz.)
Meanwhile, Senators Lindsay Graham and John McCain proposed
denying Tsarnaevis his right to a trial.
There is even a call to
torture Tsarnaevis, to what end (for the heck of it?) it wasn't clear.
I do not recall proposals to torture Mr. Holmes, and of course, of course, Mr. Holmes will get his day in
court - just like Charles Manson did, and just as Adam Lanza would have had he lived.
So what makes Tsarnaevis different - other than the fact that the murder weapon was not a device dear to the NRA's
heart?
The announcement that Tsarnaevs will be interrogated without being read his rights makes the position of the Department
of Justice quite clear.
Mr. Tsarnaevis was part of a conspiracy and his fellow conspirators are such public danger that Tsarnaevis cannot be
permitted his constitutional rights.
But there are two objections to Mr. Holder's paranoia:
- The Boston bombs were
homemade contraptions make of pressure cookers.
This bombing fits better into the pattern of homegrown American terrorist with pipe bomb or fertilizer bomb in the
rear.
Terrorists are as fashion conscious as everyone else, and even the
IED's that kill our
troops are higher tech than this.
This is a lot closer to the
Oklahoma City Bombing,
and McVeigh, Nichols, and Fortier got their days in court, in accordance with the U. S. Constitution.
- The nastiest organization in the vicinity of the Tsarnaevs is actually the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) -
which Russian President / ex-KGB agent Vladimier Putin claims isn't
a bunch of mobsters who go around murdering dissidents (yeah, right).
In 2011,
the FSB asked the FBI to check on Tamerlan Tsarnaev,
because of Tsarnaev's Chenchyan connections.
Chechnya is one of Putin's major longstanding headaches, and he has played very dirty in that conflict.
As for Tsarnaev, the FBI didn't find a thing, at least nothing that the FBI could have acted on.
If Holder was paranoid about serious things, the first question would be aimed not at Tamerlan Tsarnaev's brother,
but at Mr. Putin: exactly what was it that the FSB wanted to know and why?
Nevertheless, the Obama administration has apparently swallowed any suspicions and objections and
working towards greater cooperation with Moscow.
Conspiracy theories aside, cynics will note that both Mr. Holder and Mr. Putin have ferociously anti-Muslim track records,
and this tragedy is too good an opportunity not to be milched for all its worth.
In addition, in treating an American citizen this way - and Dzhokhar Tsarnaevis is an American citizen - the Obama
administration is making progress in one of its major goals:
And there is a reality check that people who remember Colorado and Connecticut will appreciate.
The Tsarnaevs were apparently packing heat: there were two shoot-outs and there's a dead cop.
Of course, the NRA thinks that everyone should be packing heat, but as of now, there are five dead, two because of the
ready availability of guns.
4 April 2013 - People Who are Different
In
Quatermass and the Pit,
Andrew Keir told James Donald that Donald had to be killed because "you were ... different."
In this movie, Homo sapiens were the products of genetic engineering by ancient aliens who intended that we live as they
lived, maintaining the purity of the hive (the aliens were arthropods).
There is a liberal notion that because social classes are themselves creations of society, prejudice itself is a product
of society.
But recalling how many of our primate cousins live in troops that compete with other troops - and therefore need some kind
of mechanism for distinguishing between troops, not to mention between hierarchical levels within troops (social animals
tend to maintain
pecking orders) - it is also possible
that while particular social distinctions are fabrications, the impulse to generate social distinctions may be inborn.
Here are two bits of evidence supporting this pessimistic view.
- A recent study at Yale suggests that
Infants prefer individuals who punish those not like themselves.
Yale News reports that "Psychologists have long known that people tend to like others who are like themselves," but
they had wondered when this tendency arose.
They introduced babies to a range of puppets, some of who shared their food preferences, and and who did not, and
they found that babies preferred people who were mean to those puppets who did not share their food prefrences.
- Meanwhile,
BBC recently ran a column reminding us of the work of
Henri Tajfel, who would divide
people into groups arbitrarily, and have members of groups make objective decisions about people in their own or
other groups.
He found rampant favoritism, even though the groups were arbitrary.
Of course, just because this behavior is "natural" doesn't mean that it should be encouraged, or even tolerated: as Katherine
Hepburn told Humphrey Bogart,
17 March 2013 - The Curia Unbowed
A lot has been made of the humility of the newly elected
Pope Francis I,
but a cynic might suggest that in electing a 76-year-old pontiff, the cardinals wanted someone who could keep the seat
warm while they wrestle with problems that they are not quite ready to address.
If such a cynic was right, then Francis would be a visibly humble figurehead while the Curia ran the show.
It took less than 24 hours for the first vindication of the cynic's view.
The most problematic part of Francis' past is his conduct during the
Argentine Dirty War, in which
agents of the Argentine government started murdering dissidents in the late 1960s, then revved up to slaughter tens of
thousands during the late 1970s and early 1980s, ending only when the government fell in 1983.
In the comic book version of the world, there would be heros and martyrs on one side and deatheaters on the other;
certainly there was some of that, but real life is more complicated.
There are tightrope walkers and hedgehogs who try to stay alive without compromising their ideals too much.
In his 1990 New Year's Address to the Nation, Vaclav Havel said:
Certainly, if anyone would be aware of the extent to which a tyranny makes collaborators out of its citizenry, it would be
a man ordained in the year the Dirty War sputtered into existence, served as Provincial Superior of the Jesuits during the
height of the Dirty War in the late 1970s, and became rector of the seminary in San Miguel in 1980.
By his own account, he had quietly rescued two of the junta's targets.
If he was anywhere as perceptive, as empathetic, and as humble as the Vatican's public relations department makes out, then
he must have been aware of what was happening, and he must have been miserable about how little he could do on his own, and
perhaps even blamed himself for not doing more.
Shortly after Cardinal Bergoglio became Pope Francis, embittered survivors of those years denounced him.
He must have seen this coming, and it must have occurred to him that this was his first test as pope.
If he had a duty to say anything, it would be to continue Havel's thread: whatever our ideals, we are all human - even a
pope is human - and we must forgive ourselves and each other as we bind our wounds and work to build a better world.
But instead, we heard not from him, but from one of the gnomes of the Curia.
Friar Frederico Lombardi gave a presumably prepared statement to the press,
posted on the Vatican's website,
and therefore representing the official position of the Vatican and thus, at least technically, of His Holiness.
Friar Lombardi began with:
10 March 2013 - Treason in an Endless War
The Guardian's
Glenn Greenwald's recent rant on
Rand Paul's filibuster - and the establishment progressives' blathering responses -
are an unpleasant reminder that many progressives and liberals are sitting on their hands while the Obama administration
commits crimes that would have set them howling had they been committed by George Bush.
The drone issue Paul addressed is merely one of many - witness the recent
Guardian story on torture centers set up in Afghanistan, under the direct authority of General Petraeus.
And it is one of several programs continued or expanded by the Obama Administration.
Obama fans bedazzled by all the talk of change and hope are now astonished or even in denial over their candidate
stooping to the sort of policies that Woodrow Wilson and Franklin Roosevelt stooped to, and they stooped during
wartime.
On 18 April 1943,
American aircraft shot down a plane carrying Admiral Isoroku Yamamoto, commander of the Japanese Imperial Navy.
U. S. Aircraft were dispatched to shoot down that specific plane because Yamamoto was on board: it was a deliberate
hit.
It also occurred at a time of war, when - to be blunt - everyone wearing uniforms, from sailors to admirals, are fair
targets.
The drone policy was initiated in the absence of a declaration of war.
The United States is not at war with any sovereign nation; Congress has declared
Al Qaida
to be an enemy, and that is used to justify, say, prosecuting Bradley Manning for treason under a law (passed in wartime)
on the theory that he was aiding an enemy of the United States.
Under the
U. S. Constitution, "Treason against the United States, shall consist only in levying War against them, or in
adhering to their Enemies, giving them Aid and Comfort."
Under this theory, Congress could declare
La Cosa Nostra to be an enemy of the
United States, and try Sicilian mobsters for treason.
Why stop there?
Anonymous deliberately sabotages
computers and networks in order to create chaos, don't they?
They've even targeted national security systems, haven't they?
That makes them enemies of the United States, doesn't it?
The Constitution is only a piece of paper: it does not enforce itself.
The price of liberty is eternal vigilance, and so far only the Left, assorted liberals and libertarians, and various
Right wing conspiracy theorists have been vigilant.
That is probably not enough, and without more vigilance, the cancer will continue to grow.
*
*
*
6 March 2013 - Politics and the Squeaky Wheel
The Atlantic just reported that a
recent academic paper surveyed Los Angeles politicians and their constituents and found that politicians
said their constituents were more "conservative" than those constituents actually were - or at least, claimed to be
to pollsters.
In the academic paper, the authors observed that politicians don't know their constituents directly, and thus must
rely on mechanisms like polls.
But The Atlantic suggested that during the past few decades, the political Right has been better organized and
thus more able to get its message out to the politicians (and the press), and this may have given both politicians
and the press the impression that America is more right-wing than it actually is.
This is a reminder that sheer numbers are not enough: organization and action is what matters.
*
*
*
3 March 2013 - Manning's Statement - updated 12 March 2013
There is a certain sense of deja vu about the trial of Bradley Manning. He has just
pled guilty to what are a sequence of crimes: repeatedly releasing classified information to
unauthorized people.
But the prosecution is under the
Espionage Act of 1917,
which was
amended in 1918,
and employed during World War II against socialists and pacifists ranging from
Eugene Debs to
Watchtower, the flagship of the Jehovah's Witnesses.
(This was the act which inspired Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes to compare
handing out leaflets
against the draft to shouting fire in a crowded theatre).
The shady history of the Espionage Act should have inspired an administration as allegedly highminded as Barack
Obama's to steer clear.
Yet the Obama administration is pursuing the case, complete with Nixonesque details, like refusing to provide
reporters with an official copy of Manning's plea (the Guardian has posted an
unofficial transcript that reads almost like an indictment of the Iraq war).
(On March 12, the Freedom of the Press Foundation posted
an audio recording of Manning's statement.)
Speaking of President Nixon, one wonders how much personal attention Obama is giving to the case: after all, on the case
of Daniel Elsberg
(also tried under
the Espionage Act), Nixon told Attorney General John Mitchell:
13 February 2013 - The State of the Union is ... dumber?
The Brits couldn't resist.
After President Obama's latest
State of the Union Address,
the Guardian ran all state of the union addresses through the
Flesch-Kincaid readability tests, which measures difficulty by word length and sentence
length, and concluded that the state of the union has declined from George Washington's 17.9 down to
George H. W. Bush's 8.6 (see the
Guardian's graph).
The high was James Madison's 21.6, perhaps appropriate for the primary author of the U. S. Constitution,
but he was followed by the notably useless Martin van Buren, at 20.7.
Abraham Lincoln, our most eloquent president, measured in at 14.7, while that notable Man of the People,
Andrew Jackson, clocked in at 19.7; compare that to the 15.6 awarded to the great, um, intellectual
(that's not the noun H. L. Mencken used) Woodrow Wilson.
Of course, state of the unions haven't been written by presidents for some time (let's not go into the
awkward question of exactly how much of Kennedy's writings were written by Kennedy), and further
recalling George Orwell's warning that
a high Flesch-Kincaid index may be an indication of sloppy thinking or even deceit,
perhaps the decline was not altogether bad.
The American response is ... has anyone applied the Flesch-Kincaid tests to the prime ministers' speeches
to the House?
Or the Queen's ...?
*
*
*
Traditionally, gerrymandering was a device by which incumbents protect their jobs -
occasionally at the expense of their party.
In addition, the courts have imposed all sorts of rules on redistricting - race neutrality,
natural borders, etc. - that interpretations of these constraints, together with
the fact that groups of people tend to settle in clumps, make it difficult to determine
what is due to happenstance and what is do to conniving.
But when
Republicans brag about their clever redistricting,
one can't help being suspicious - and one can't wonder why grown-up politicians imitate
Saturday morning cartoon villains.
At least no Republican leader has indulged in a Simon-bar-Sinister-type cackle.
Yet.
27 January 2013 - Is Obama Liberal?
For four years, the Right has reviled President Obama as a liberal extremist - or as a Muslim
terrorist from Kenya.
The Left has had more mixed feelings about him: since America has shifted rightward in the last
three decades, Obama (like Clinton before him) seems like a floating log to a drowning sailor.
And (like Clinton before him), Obama tends to sink whenever liberals and leftists rely on him.
Obama's
second inaugural address
was a widely interpreted as a progressive paean: he held up equality and government care
for the disadvantaged and for veterans - and praised Social Security and Medicare, which are
are actually middle class entitlements.
He said nothing about programs that would help the disadvantaged (or help veterans), and he
said nothing about grass roots organizations (like unions) by which people can advance their
own interests.
This was essentially the view of 1960s era moderate Republicanism: the people are a passive
recipient of sensibly distributed and monitored government aid.
The nation has swung so far to the Right since then that the Tampa Tribune justifiably argued that
President Barack Obama wrapped his liberal agenda in the flag Monday in his second inaugural address ....
Real liberals and progressives disagreed.
Across Tampa Bay, Robyn Blumner complained that on two critical points,
Obama is hardly a liberal,
and across the Atlantic, the U. K. Guardian's Glenn Greenwald looked at Obama's increasingly
Nixonian record on federal security and claimed
The only official punished for the illegal NSA program was the one who discussed it. The same is
now true of torture.
Real liberals can't help but reminded of Obama's 2008 claim - echoing John Kerry in 2004
- that he would have done what Bush did, but more competently.
*
*
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24 January 2014 - The Problem with Neo-Liberalism
A new book on the
Masters of the Universe: Hayek, Friedman, and the Birth of Neoliberal Politics, by
Daniel Stedman Jones reminds us that what we see of economic libertarianism on the airwaves
and in the blogosphere is the comic book version.
Economic libertarians from
Friedrich Hayek
to
Milton Friedman
were quite aware of the necessity of public expenditure for the public good.
Hayek, after all, lived through the
London Blitz
(when Winston Churchill was putting Britain deeply into debt in order to fight the Third Reich)
while Friedman proposed a
reverse income
tax as an anti-poverty measure.
It was
Ayn Rand
who remained perpetually adolescent.
The problem is that since the market encourages players to act in their own self-interest
(and all too often, in their own immediate rather than long-term self-interest), the market
often fails to address major public concerns that everyone wants someone else to address.
One example are anti-biotics.
Microbes evolve so quickly that anti-biotics become obsolete, and what's more, users typically
do not come back for more.
Worse, many anti-biotics are specific to a limited range of microbes.
Meanwhile, each anti-biotic costs a lot to develop and test; many anti-biotics are developed
in academia (funded by tax dollars) and then tested by pharmaceutical companies, but even
that reduces the profits to those companies so much that they would prefer to spend their
money on improved cold remedies, which have a more reliable return.
The result is that our inventory of anti-biotics has grown slim -- just as BBC reports that
The rise in drug resistant infections is comparable to the threat of global warming, according
to the chief medical officer for England.
If we want to keep the death toll down, we're going to have to spend tax dollars.
*
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23 January 2013 - Is Life High School?
Bruce Springsteen saw them as our (bittersweet)
Glory Days,
Kurt Vonnegut thought that it is "closer to the core of the American experience than anything else I can think
of."
High school is entering the radar range of developmental psychology, and New York magazine explains
Why You Truly Never Leave High
School.
Being only a magazine article, it does not go much into topics like the difference between boys and girls
(among many social mammals, adolescent males often wander in cliques separate from the main group, while
females remain closer to home), but it is true that our age segregated junior/senior high school system is
... abnormal, but with precedents in previous urban cultures.
*
*
*
15 January 2013 - The Florida House
The Florida House of Representatives is
probably regarded with more contempt than any other body or agency in the Florida state government.
Over the years, its antics have moved people across the political spectrum to say, "Thank God for the Senate."
Yet the House has considerable power and influence, and any group that wanted to make a difference (like, say, the
Democratic Party of Florida) would focus
on the House - if only because the House is a source of much grief, and a major source of danger to the public
interest.
The Florida House has 120 seats, and as of the last election, there are 44 Democrats and 76 Republicans.
That is the outcome of the election, and the newspapers all reported the the Democratic party had managed to eke
out a marginal gain, and now had (hold onto your hats) over a third of the seats.
But newspaper readers may have asked how that was such a great victory in a state that had not only returned a
moderate Democrat to the U. S. Senate, but also helped return a much vilified Democrat to the White House.
Let's take a look at
the election results.
First of all, while there are 120 seats, all up for election, there were only 75 races: 45 (38 %) of the
candidates garnered no opposition at all and just walked into office.
- Of those 45 who walked into office, 18 were Democrats and 27 were Republicans.
- Of the remaining 75 who faced opposition, 28 did not face opposition from the other major party.
27 of these races consisted of a major party candidate versus either a No Party Affiliation
candidate or a Write-In candidate or a minor party candidate - and one race consisted of a major
party candidate versus a No Party Affiliation candidate and a Write-in candidate.
While a few of these non-major-party candidates got respectable returns - the best was Christina Spencer-Kephart,
who got 29,026 votes in the race for seat # 25 (versus 45,951 for the winner, Republican Dave Hood) -
most non-major party candidates did not:
- In all these races put together, the non-major candidates together got 0.2 % of the votes.
- The most that any write-in candidate got was 504, and two got zero).
- Of these 28 that faced only third-party (or no-party) opposition, five were Democrats and 23 were
Republicans.
Putting this together, we have: there were 120 seats.
For these 120 seats, the Democrats ran 70 candidates while the Republicans ran 97.
In order to get a majority, the Democrats would have to win 87 % of the seats that they went for, while the
Republicans only had to win 63 %.
As it turned out, the Democrats won 63 % of the seats that they went for, while the Republicans won 78 %.
But this last fact may not imply that Republicans have greater support in Florida, for after all, only 23
of the Democrats (33 %) faced no Republican opponent, while 50 of the Republicans (52 %) faced no Democratic
opponent.
The 47 races involving a Democrat versus a Republican tell a different story - but note that 47 seats are just
39 % of the total.
- In 21 of the races, the Democrat won, while in 26 of the races, the Republican won.
- In these 47 races, 1,649,270 votes were cast for the Democrat, while 1,542,213 were cast for the Republican.
In these races, 51.6 % of those who voted cast their ballots for the Democrat, 48.2 % for the Republican,
and 0.2 % for other candidates.
The naive computation would go like this.
- For the 73 seats for which there was only one major party candidate, if both parties had run candidates and
distributed the seats by 51.6 % for the Democrats and 48.2 % for the Republicans, then 38 of those seats
would have gone to the Democrats while 35 would have gone to the Republicans.
As it stands, 23 of these went to Democrats and 50 to Republicans.
One could naively conclude that the Democrats lost 38 - 23 = 15 seats to lack of gumption.
- For the 47 seats for which both parties fielded candidates, if 51.6 % of the seats went to the Democrats
and 48.2 % to the Republicans, then 24 would have gone to the Democrats and 23 to the Republicans.
Actually, 21 of these went to the Democrats while 26 went to the Republicans.
One could naively conclude that the Democrats lost 24 - 21 = 3 seats to gerrymandering.
Of course, this is a naive computation.
Still, one can't help thinking ... add 15 seats for gumption (maybe losing two to gerrymandering) and that makes
44 + 13 = 57 seats; then the Democratic party would be in a better position to cry foul over losing five
seats (and thus the majority) to gerrymandering.
A more serious computation would have to consider things like:
- For those seats for which a major party failed to field a candidate, was it hopeless?
Was there something more sinister afoot (e.g. money)?
- For those seats for which both parties fielded candidates, did those districts naturally incorporate clumps
of voters who voted so that the results were not uniformly spread out over those districts?
- And what was the effect of those voter suppression laws rushed into the books during 2012?
More serious analysis will have to wait for additional data that the Division of Elections is still working on.
Stay tuned.
Postscript on human frailty.